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2027: Okupe explains why Atiku Abubakar’s bid may fail

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Dr. Doyin Okupe discussed the geopolitical considerations shaping Nigeria’s 2027 presidential race.Okupe analyses geopolitical dynamics, predicting challenges for Atiku Abubakar’s 2027 bid and doubts over opposition unity against Tinubu.
  • Former spokesperson of Peter Obi during the 2023 electioneering, Dr. Doyin Okupe, argued that geopolitical considerations favour a Southern presidency, making Atiku's 2027 candidacy potentially problematic
  • Okupe emphasised the importance of the North-South power rotation agreement, asserting that the South should complete its eight-year term after Tinubu's tenure
  • Okupe expressed scepticism about opposition leaders forming effective alliances, citing a lack of compromise and unity among key figures

Former spokesperson and Director-General of Peter Obi’s Presidential Campaign Organisation, Dr. Doyin Okupe, has asserted that geopolitical considerations favour the South producing Nigeria’s president in 2027.

In an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) on Thursday in Lagos, Okupe contended that it would be unfair for the North to reclaim the presidency immediately after President Bola Tinubu's tenure.

He acknowledged that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, the 2023 presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), is well-qualified to contest in 2027. However, Okupe argued that Atiku’s candidacy would likely face the same challenges as in 2023, when it was seen as disrupting the North-South power rotation agreement.

“Atiku failed in 2023 not because he was not a good person, but because people felt that a northern Muslim could not succeed another northern Muslim after eight years,” Okupe stated.

“If Atiku contests in 2027, he has the right. He is eminently qualified and one of the best we have. However, the conditionality still persists. A Southerner would have just completed four years and requires another four to complete the eight-year term.

“The North cannot terminate the South’s tenure in 2027. It’s not constitutional but agreed upon for stability. After eight years in the North, the South must have its turn,” he added.

Okupe noted that Peter Obi, the Labour Party's 2023 presidential candidate, could also contest as a Southerner in 2027 but said it would be difficult for Obi to unseat Tinubu.

“Obi is young, dynamic, and ambitious, but geopolitics is key in a country that has not yet achieved horizontal and vertical unity. Tinubu is also a Southerner and is performing well. It will be an uphill task for Obi to dislodge him,” Okupe said.

On whether alliances between political leaders and parties could successfully challenge Tinubu in 2027, Okupe expressed scepticism.

“I have been in politics for over 40 years. Alliances often fail because participants are unwilling to make concessions for group interests. We have not attained the maturity to make rational and reasonable compromises,” he explained.

Okupe referenced the alliance that brought former President Muhammadu Buhari to power in 2015, highlighting that Tinubu’s leadership and willingness to make concessions were pivotal to its success.

“The man who spearheaded that alliance, Tinubu, made significant concessions to ensure it worked. That level of maturity and selflessness is not present among today’s opposition leaders,” he said.

Okupe expressed doubts that opposition figures such as Atiku, Obi, and Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso could unite effectively against Tinubu, stating, “That kind of maturity does not exist among them.

Bode George urges Atiku Abubakar to step aside for younger leadership in PDP

Meanwhile, TheRadar earlier reported that Chief Bode George, the former Deputy National Chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), has called on Atiku Abubakar, the party's presidential candidate in the 2023 election, to abandon any plans of running for president again in 2027. 

In a video that surfaced online, George urged Atiku to step aside and allow younger candidates to take the lead, emphasising that Nigeria needs fresh ideas and faces in the political arena.


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Gbenga Oluranti OLALEYEAdmin

Gbenga Oluranti OLALEYE is a writer and media professional with over 4 years of experience covering politics, lifestyle, and sports, he is passionate about good governance and quality education.

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